NCAAF Week 9 Totals Tout Analysis: Going Over What's Left
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The college football mid-season is when a select few programs start seeking to make the sorta statements that'll convince the CFP Selection Committee that they're deserving of an invitation to the Featured Four.
Damn near 100 of the others are aiming for the other bowl invitations.
And a few, like Rutgers, have already packed it in.
Where does all of the fit into successful over/under strategies?
If there was some sorta golden formula, we'd all own a piece of Las Vegas right now. Instead, we've gotta start with a couple of basic fundamentals and season to taste.
I base my suggestions on the early-week lines, so before you decide to throw in with me, check where the lines are now before making a final decison.
Iowa at Northwestern: 39
Neither one of these squads lights it up on Saturday. Northwestern, especially, hopes to control the clock and upset the Hawkeyes in a slow game.
Iowa will oblige by trying to do the same thing to the Wildcats. The Hawkeyes win by around 11 in what should be a 17-6 battle. This one's money. Big money. Go under.
Result: Iowa 20 Northwestern 0 ... under covers
Syracuse at Florida State: 61
Neither team plays exceptional defense. However, neither team has a stunningly good offense, either.
In fact, this could be a dreary matchup where the score ends up 24-22, or something like that. Under.
Result: Florida State 35 Syracuse 17 ,,, under covers
Virginia at Louisville: 52
Louisville will try to push the pace. That’s not a good idea against a team with an excellent defense.
Result: Louisville 28 Virginia 21 ... under covers
Arkansas at Alabama: 60
The Razorbacks simply won’t score more than 10 points while Alabama should win by around 17 to 20. That won’t come close to the over.
Result: Alabama 48 Arkansas 7 ... under covers
Texas Tech at Kansas: 61
Showing signs of competitive life under The Hat, Kansas has become a decent squad at home. Expect them to move the football in this matchup against a tough Texas Tech team.
Result: Kansas 37 Texas Tech 34 ... over covers
Boston College at Clemson: 63
The Golden Eagles used to field a pretty good defense. Not anymore. Clemson’s defense has started to gel while the offense has gotten much better since the almost-loss to North Carolina.
Our projection is the Tigers win, 45-17. That’s 62 points. So, going under.
Result: Clemson 59 Boston College 7 ... over covers
Notre Dame at Michigan: 53½
Sure, the Wolverines dropped 21 onto Penn State. Michigan could bounce off that effort and not move the football nearly as well in Week 9. Another under game.
Result: Michigan 45 Notre Dame 14 ... over covers
Arizona State at UCLA: 54½
The Bruin offense finally appears to be on track. Before getting too excited, though, it’s important to realize that the three teams where they scored at least 30 points or more were Washington State, Oregon State, and Stanford.
Result: UCLA 42 Arizona State 32 ... over covers
California at Utah: 40
Let's keep this one as simple as it is:
Result: Utah 35 California 0 ... under covers
Sportbet Columnist: Josh Bailey ... Today: 6-3
Aspiring to become the Mark Twain of sportswriting, Josh has been labelled as the up-&-coming sportswriter of the year by absolutely nobody and the new heavy hitter in sports handicapping by his mother.