Secretariat Comes from 47 Years Back to Win the Virtual Kentucky Derby

Published on 2-May-2020 by J Square Humboldt

Horses    Horses Daily Update

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Secretariat Comes from 47 Years Back to Win the Virtual Kentucky Derby

Of all the computer-generated competitions the Covid-19 pandemic has spawned, this had to be one of the coolest.

Pulling together every Triple Crown winner's stats known to equine geekdom, NBC Sports staged a virtual Kentucky Derby for the ages.

To the surprise of virtually no one, 7:2 favorite Secretariat emerged as the legend of legends.


Here's how gaming provider Inspired Entertainment prepared for the race:

  • Churchill Downs analyzed the historical past performance of each Triple Crown winner; and
  • Added in the opinions of horse racing experts who evaluated each contender's achievements, putting them into historical perspective; then
  • That information, known as the fundamental probabilities, was fed into Inspired's computer models; which ultimately
  • Determined the final result by using those probabilities along with random number generation.


This was not a predetermined outcome.

The fundamental probabilities only established the odds of each horse winning. Those with a higher probability value weren’t necessarily going to win; they just had a greater chance of doing so.

The draw was just like any other race, right outta the hat:

Pole                   Horse Year Odds
1 Affirmed 1978 5:1
2 Assault 1946 20:1
3 Secretariat 1973 7:2
4 Sir Barton 1919 20:1
5 Seattle Slew 1977 5:1
6 American Pharoah 2015 6:1
7 Gallant Fox 1930 20:1
8 Citation 1948 4:1
9 War Admiral 1937 8:1
10 Whirlaway 1941 6:1
11 Count Fleet 1943 6:1
12 Justify 2018 15:1
13 Omaha 1935 20:1


Derby rituals were conducted as if the actual race was happening.

The ceremonies began with Churchill Downs bugler Steve Buttleman playing Call to the Post from the front steps of his Louisville home:


150,000 kindred souls wished they were filling those stands.

For 145 years, any available viewpoint woulda been taken, as it's hoped they'll be able to do on Sat 5 Sep, when the live event will hopefully occur.


But that's for then and this is now, because it's the best anyone can do at the moment.

For spontaneity, because randomness makes that the only option, NBC play-by dude Larry Collmus was on hand to cal the action as it happened:


Incidentally, betting on this race was verboten.

Instead, fans selecting the winning horse online were entered to win a VIP experience at the actual Derby this fall, and Churchill Downs pledged to match $1million in fan donations to COVID-19 relief.


Maybe this virtual victory will give Secretariat an entire new generation of fans.

He might even serve as a role model here and there.


It's not every event that can dredge up history like this and make it look as good as they did.

And speaking of ...

If any horse does the triple this year, it'll be a first with the Derby being the last race run. After the 1½ miles of Belmont -- all things being equal -- the Derby's 1¼-mile distance will seem like a sprint.

Secretariat would probably just keep running.

Affirmed is eight years old now and pulling in $200,000 per studly performance, so imagine what Secretariat would command these days. Food for thought.

If a virtual race circuit ever forms and they program breeding into the mix, maybe he'd get it on for a wad of crypto. Lotsa crypto.