Bracket Decisions: Data or Darts?

Published on 17-Mar-2014 by J Square Humboldt
Basketball - NCAA Mens / NCAA Basketball Daily Update

Yes, there's a winner in this picture, and it isn't you.

This may be that one day of the year when everybody's Irish, but ask around and it'll be clear that it's also that one day of the year when everybody's a college basketball expert.

Or at least, it's a day when everybody has a bracket plan.

And with Warren Buffett depending on infinitesimal odds to keep his billion-dollar perfect bracket giveaway safely in the coffers of Quicken Loans, math shortcuts or no, if anyone is going to cash in, it'll no doubt be a backwoods Bulgarian blacksmith who doesn't speak English and was just screwing around with a hot smartphone he picked up from a Crimean refugee for a few stotinkas.

Or something like that. Bookmark it. You heard it here first.

What's even more annoying is that the only differences between that scenario and the eventual winner of your pool is that you'll share a common language and part of the cash in the kitty used to be yours.

But since you're going to play, anyway, it's worth taking a look at what rational thinkers suggest for success in the pseudoscience of bracketology.

And what better place to start than in the hallowed halls of academia, where business geeks can either spend their time working on something that will win a Nobel prize for economics or doing this:

Of course, bracket advice is everywhere.

Pick and choose from the systems at will, but just know there's really only one true winning strategy, and that's to be related to a backwoods Bulgarian blacksmith.

Or someone like that.

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