How Do Longhorns Hook a Cyclone?
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Iowa State and Texas may be on the outside looking in, but their clash here is gonna keep one of them in the Big XII title race.
So look for all the stops to be pulled out in this one, except for ...
It's just the way they entertain in that part of the country.
Bovada is looking at the match-up as a dead heat, ie- Texas gets the home-field three-point bump in the line. Thus, Iowa State is -3 with the total at a surprisingly normal 48. The moneyline's Cyclones +120 and Longhorns -140.
Why you should bet on Iowa State ...
The Cyclones have won five straight after a 1-3 start. They're 6-3 overall against the spread and 3-1 ATS on the road. Plus, since November 2016, Iowa State has prevailed in 12 of 18 Big XII games. That's ten more wins than in their previous 23 conference games.
Coach Matt Campbell's crew can earn its first-ever Big 12 conference championship berth with two more victories and one West Virginia loss.
Why you should bet on Texas ...
Of the Longhorns’ ten 2018 games, eight have been decided by seven points or less and in the final 30 seconds of play. Thus, they're in the mix until the very end.
With Cyclones star RB David Montgomery forced to sit out the first half, the 'Horns have 30 minutes of game time to keep Iowa State at bay, if they can make hay against one of the few Big XII defenses that actually look like it.
Texas can clinch a spot in the Big XII championship game with two more wins and one Oklahoma loss.
Instant analysis ...
Texas is 13-2 straight up all-time against Iowa State. Each of the Longhorn victories over the last two seasons was by double-digits.
As well, Texas is 13-2 all-time against Iowa State, including 7-1 in games played at home. The Longhorns have won two straight over Iowa State, including last season in Ames.
Meanwhile, the Cyclones are 3-2 against the spread over the last five games against Texas.
In a game that projects to be tight, I've gotta take the points.
ATS Pick: Iowa State +3
Result: Texas 24 Iowa State 10 ... Longhorns cover
Sportbet Columnist: Noah Williams
Noah lives and works with a simple philosophy of “Eat, Drink, Football.” This is embodied through a dedication to satellite TV, Indian delivery, Folgers in his cup, and Budweiser. He lives in a secret lair with his beautiful concubine.