Time for a Pendulum Swing

Published on 3-Aug-2014 by Alan Adamsson

MLB    MLB Daily Stake

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Time for a Pendulum Swing

If ever there was an urge to make an under play in today's MLB menu, it's with the Cincinnati Reds' and Miami Marlins' matinée.

Both clubs are hovering around .500 and neither team has been scoring many runs as of late.

Prevailing sentiment is to ride with a trend once it's identified, but as with anything else, all good things must come to an end. And as loaded as the indicators are toward another under, there may be a contrarian factor about to arise this afternoon.

Let's take a look at the top of the Bovada data tool's Preview section for this game on our Home page:

Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins preview

It's loaded with under signals. And today, it may be too loaded.

The Mike Leake-Jacob Turner tandem could be what both teams need to light up the scoreboard. AccuScore has both of them at a 45% chance of notching a quality start. In 20 outings, Leake is 9-11 against the over for a 45% result; Turner is 6-5 for a 55% result. With Bovada pegging the number at , these two hurlers could be responsible for overturning every other trend that matters.

It's well worth the punt.

Prediction: Cincinnati v Miami     over


Result: Cincinnati 7 Miami 3     total = 10 runs     Reds cover