The Confusion of the Draft
This is the time of the year that many NFL fans fancy themselves amateur GMs as they complete their big boards and determine their top prospects.
Admittedly, this is fairly humorous to any and all outsiders because they -- okay, we --) don’t really do anything with these lists or 'boards' other than track what the real decision makers are doing
But the truly humorous thing is to think, what if we were in charge? What if our favorite team’s draft was truly up to us? What if the “what you predict they’ll do” and the “what would you do” scenarios converge? That’s where the laughing begins.
I think it’s safe to say that there are plenty of factors that go into a team’s NFL draft that are 'way beyond our comprehension.
Many factors and voices weigh in on whom to select and moreover whom not to select. But let’s strip some of those factors out and say it’s you in a room with a board of names. In fact, I’m not even gonna give you a phone to make a call to engineer a trade. So come on, guru, what’s your play? What’s your philosophy? Are you purely a BPA kind of guy? Are you BPA “based on need”? Or are you “see hole, fill hole”?
Each style of drafting has its merits. But here’s the beauty of the reality: trying to pigeonhole a GM or team as having a certain philosophy is futile. Why? Because they have them all. It depends on the pick. And the round. And the players. And the teams ahead and behind on the draft board. Philosophies fluctuate to such a point that a GM couldn’t even tell you what his overarching philosophy is.
So the next time you listen to some blustery analyst – on TV, on the radio, or online – telling you how a team should pick or how a team processes the fathoms of information, it’s best to just find the humor.
Because the reality is, as sound as their argument may be, it’s only a small part of the picture.