Giant Stoppers and Giant Floppers

Published on 20-Mar-2014 by Coach
Basketball - NCAA Mens / NCAA Basketball Daily Review

Steppin' out.

Every year there's a talk of the next bracket buster, the team that no one picks and essentially destroys 99% of the NCAA brackets in the world.

But so little talk is about the team that fails to preform. 

This is a compilation of the teams that are most likely to break a brack by surpassing their expectation and the teams that will fail to preform, according to their ranking.

Giant Stoppers

North Dakota State ... I like the Bison getting to the Sweet Sixteen this year as a 12-seed. 2013 was the year of the 12-over-5-seeds, and expect the Bison to repeat history. They play sound, fundamental basketball, and their first round match-up against the Sooners should be doable. Their next round -- against either San Diego State or New Mexico State -- should be a little tougher but still managable, with a team from a weak Mountain West Conference and a low 13-seed from the WAC.

New Mexico ... The Lobos will go up against an interesting Stanford team that's had its ups and downs in the Pac-12 this year. If the Lobos handle the Cardinal, like they should, they'll play the Kansas. The Jayhawks are missing key peice Joel Embiid. If this game happens, the tables will be turned. The Jayhawks and Lobos played already this season when the Lobos weren't at full strength.

Oklahoma State ... The Cowboys have Marcus Smart coming back and playing well at the right time. The Round of 64 should be fairly easy for the 'Boys. It's the following game against 1-seed Arizona that'll be the real test. The Wildcats limped into the Pac-12 Tournament and lost against UCLA in the final, which was only their fourth setback of the season. If Oklahoma State can solve 'Zona's tenacious defense, they'll break through to a number of beatable teams in the Sweet Sixteen.

Giant Floppers

Oklahoma ... The Sooners will play a tough, tough, North Dakota State team in the Round of 64. The Bison don't turn the ball over, while the Sooners are mediocre at best when trying to stop opponents. Even if Oklahoma can escape the Bison, it must play either San Diego State or New Mexico State. Don't count on the Sooners getting to the Sweet Sixteen.

Wisconsin ... While the Badgers should win easily against the American Eagles, this team has struggled at times, and is even more deficient in areas Bo Ryan de-emphasises. While the Eagles have a 10.7% chance of an upset -- according to ESPN.com Insiders -- the Badgers will struggle against Oregon -- who should get by the crippled BYU Cougars -- due to the Ducks' deadly perimiter shooting and transition game.

Here's a Wisconsin believer:

And in review, here are some knee-jerk upset predictions:

Table 'dailypla_database.metrics_robots' doesn't exist