Mid-Season Progress Report: Bovada Win Props

Published on 16-Jul-2013 by J Square Humboldt
MLB / MLB Daily Stake

Mid-Season Progress Report: Bovada Win Props

The All-Star break occurs slightly after the actual halfway point of the season, which is ample time to take accurate note of how teams are trending.

For example, this is a perfect time to check on the status of Bovada's season win total props.

Here's where they stand, complete with what is required over the balance of the season for each to cover the chalk:

Division Team Chalk Today   The Dif       Required
AL East Yankees  88.5 51-44       37.5       38-29   .567
  Blue Jays  87.5 45-49       42.5       43-25   .632
  Rays  86.5 55-41       31.5       31-34   .476
  Red Sox  82.5 58-39       24.5       25-40   .385
  Orioles  78.5 53-43       25.5       26-40   .394
AL Central Tigers  92.5 52-42       40.5       41-27   .603
  White Sox  80.5 37-55       43.5       44-26   .629
  Royals  78.5 43-49       35.5       36-34   .514
  Indians  76.5 51-44       25.5       26-41   .388
  Twins  67.5 39-53       28.5       29-41   .414
AL West Angels  92.5 44-49       48.5       49-20   .710
  Rangers  86.5 54-41       32.5       33-34   .493
  Athletics  83.5 56-39       27.5       28-39   .418
  Mariners  77.5 43-52       34.5       35-32   .522
  Astros  59.5 33-61       26.5       27-41   .397
NL East Nationals  92.5 48-47       44.5       45-22   .672
  Braves  88.5 54-41       34.5       35-32   .522
  Phillies  83.5 48-48       35.5       36-30   .545
  Mets  74.5 41-50       33.5       34-37   .479
  Marlins  63.5 35-58       28.5       29-40   .420
NL Central Reds  91.5 53-42       38.5       39-28   .582
  Cardinals  85.5 57-36       28.5       29-40   .420
  Brewers  81.5 38-56       43.5       44-24   .647
  Pirates  77.5 56-37       21.5       22-47   .319
  Cubs  72.5 42-51       30.5       31-38   .449
NL West Dodgers  91.5 47-47       34.5       35-33   .515
  Giants  87.5 43-51       44.5       45-23   .662
  Diamondbacks  81.5 50-45       31.5       32-35   .478
  Padres  74.5 42-54       34.5       35-31   .530
  Rockies  71.5 46-50       25.5       26-40   .394

Teams looking to cruise their way to covering would be those who need merely to win out at a pace of .425 or worse. This group includes the Red Sox, Orioles, Indians, Twins, Athletics, and Astros (!) in the American League.

Over in the senior circuit, the teams most likely to cover include the Marlins (!), Cardinals, Pirates, and Rockies.

Meanwhile, any team needing a winning clip of .600 or better is on life support in the prop world. Only a run like the A's had in 2002 or the Rockies in 2007 will put their backers at the payout window.

Naturally, such figures and projections give rise to random thoughts like these:

Other storylines abound. Boston's back. San Francisco's creaky. Buck Showalter's now winning with a fourth team. Yasiel Puig's start makes him this year's Jay Bruce, but since it's happening in Los Angeles, he gets more notice.

While all this is easy to say now, here's a statement that's even easier to make:

Back before the 2013 season began, those who dared won. Or will do so soon.

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